Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.019089 0.022233 0.025704 0.029815 0.034547 0.039819 0.046135
2025-11-16 0.014342 0.018398 0.023292 0.029614 0.037551 0.047166 0.059680
2025-11-23 0.010913 0.015238 0.020879 0.028739 0.039367 0.053196 0.072505
2025-11-30 0.009223 0.013872 0.020359 0.030009 0.043919 0.063156 0.091664
2025-12-07 0.007614 0.012253 0.019137 0.029997 0.046577 0.070783 0.108601
2025-12-14 0.006168 0.010567 0.017478 0.028986 0.047500 0.075893 0.122422
2025-12-21 0.005194 0.009427 0.016428 0.028676 0.049335 0.082455 0.139103
2025-12-28 0.004744 0.009065 0.016553 0.030240 0.054318 0.094460 0.165753
2026-01-04 0.004252 0.008536 0.016293 0.031072 0.058120 0.104902 0.190961
2026-01-11 0.003610 0.007609 0.015171 0.030178 0.058727 0.109902 0.207317
2026-01-18 0.003149 0.006949 0.014435 0.029866 0.060302 0.116705 0.227524
2026-01-25 0.002695 0.006219 0.013446 0.028910 0.060498 0.120950 0.243412
2026-02-01 0.002322 0.005608 0.012620 0.028190 0.061122 0.126186 0.262028
2026-02-08 0.002063 0.005201 0.012156 0.028152 0.063115 0.134290 0.287154
2026-02-15 0.001785 0.004699 0.011410 0.027394 0.063491 0.139192 0.306392
2026-02-22 0.001683 0.004604 0.011559 0.028648 0.068366 0.153859 0.347368
2026-03-01 0.001513 0.004306 0.011192 0.028658 0.070465 0.162879 0.377336
2026-03-08 0.001311 0.003886 0.010465 0.027700 0.070211 0.166750 0.396507
2026-03-15 0.001170 0.003604 0.010036 0.027408 0.071479 0.174122 0.424235
2026-03-22 0.001128 0.003593 0.010301 0.028910 0.077284 0.192442 0.478831
2026-03-29 0.001057 0.003487 0.010297 0.029709 0.081435 0.207330 0.526931
2026-04-05 0.000929 0.003183 0.009706 0.028853 0.081253 0.211865 0.550851
2026-04-12 0.000837 0.002970 0.009338 0.028554 0.082489 0.219971 0.584278